Bacalar (Laguna Bacalar) weather in February
February in Bacalar: hot, dry, with clean air — fine if you can take sticky heat.
Updated September 2026 · climate normals from ERA5 reanalysis
#1 of 12 months in Bacalar · #504 of 1413 destinations to visit in February · comfort 80/100 (tier A)
- Days
- 30°C
- Nights
- 21°C
- Wet days
- 8
- Sun
- 9.9 h
- Humidity
- 78%
- Daylight
- 12 h

Traveller notes on Bacalar in February
Notes from nearby Caye Caulker (111 km away)
Bacalar doesn't have its own notes for February yet — these are about Caye Caulker, close enough to share the season.
February is inside Caye Caulker's busy stretch, January to April, and the forum's reassurance is about forecasts rather than weather: a late-February visitor whose app promised rain nearly every day got about thirty seconds of it. Our row says the same thing in figures - 13.5 precipitation days carrying 42.9mm between them. Seaweed is the real variable and it is wind-driven: in winter a northerly often pushes it back out to sea, and how much lands varies day to day and property to property, because the clearing is done by whoever owns the frontage. Sargassum season proper starts mid-February to mid-March, lightly at first. The record: 28.1C days that feel like 32C, 23.2C nights, 10.1 hours of sun and a 26.6C sea.
Other months in Bacalar
Yucatán coast forum threads describe July as hot and humid with daytime highs around 33C, right around when the 'canícula' - the year's hottest, driest stretch - typically begins in mid-month. It's technically wet season, but posters were consistent that forecasts predicting daily storms don't match reality; when rain does show up it's usually overnight or a brief afternoon shower rather than an all-day event. Hurricane risk in July specifically stays low, picking up more in the following months.
Forum posters place January inside the more pleasant November-April stretch here - less humid and hot than summer, and correspondingly fewer mosquitoes around the famous Lagoon of Seven Colors. Days are typically sunny and warm, with pleasantly cool nights, though posters note a passing cold front can occasionally bring a properly chilly night and grey, drizzly skies - February sees this more often than January, but it's not ruled out either month. Hurricane risk, a real consideration in the surrounding region from June through November, is essentially off the table by January, one more reason posters favor this month for lagoon swimming and boat trips.
Add your own note from Bacalar's card on the map.
Bacalar climate normals — February
Monthly averages from ERA5 reanalysis. AQI is the mean US Air Quality Index for the month.
Crowds in Bacalar in February
How busy the place itself is — school and mass holidays, the months an editor tagged, and how sought-after the weather makes them. Never part of the comfort score.
Peak crowdsCarnaval de Bacalar, Dry high season(estimated)
Peak crowdsBusyShoulder seasonQuiet
Best months for Bacalar's weather
Ranked by this destination's own climate comfort score across the year — a different thing from how busy it gets (see Crowds above).
Best weatherBacalar's weather peaks December–February.
February includes Carnaval de Bacalar.
Best weatherFair weatherToughest weather
What's on in Bacalar in February
Recurring seasonal events, natural spectacles, closures and holidays — curated and sourced.
- Festival
Carnaval de Bacalar
5 Feb – 5 Mar · usuallyCarnivalCrowdedA small-town carnival in the week before Lent — comparsas, regional music and a parade round the plaza above the lagoon. It is for the town rather than for visitors, which is the reason to go. Source ↗
- Season
Nortes season
1 Nov – 28 Feb · usuallyWind seasonCold fronts push down the Gulf every week or two and arrive here as two or three grey, blustery days. The lagoon churns up and loses its colour until the wind drops, which is the one thing people come for. Source ↗
- Season
Dry high season
15 Dec – 15 AprWinter-sun seasonCrowdedBook earlyThe rains have stopped and the lagoon is at its clearest, which is when the town fills with people who drove down from Tulum. Christmas and Semana Santa are the two weeks worth booking well ahead.
Nearby, and something's on
Within 300 km of Bacalar — a day trip or a short hop — with something on this month. Never part of the comfort score.
Where is Bacalar?
Bacalar in February — FAQ
- Is February a good time to visit Bacalar?
- February in Bacalar: hot, dry, with clean air — fine if you can take sticky heat. It ranks #1 of 12 months for Bacalar on SeasonMap's comfort score (80/100).
- What is the weather like in Bacalar in February?
- In February, Bacalar averages a daily high of 30.4°C and a low of 20.9°C, with about 24.4 mm of rain over roughly 7.8 rainy days.
- What is the air quality in Bacalar in February?
- Bacalar has a mean US Air Quality Index of about 33 in February.
Within 300 km: Caye Caulker's Lobster season opens on 15 Jun – 14 Feb, and Valladolid's Feria de la Candelaria around 27 Jan – 8 Feb.